Available translations: English

15.04.2025

Research involving the UK 皇冠体育国际娱乐 for Ecology & Hydrology (UKCEH) has greatly enhanced flood risk management across Great Britain, says the Environment Agency. 

Our scientists produced the most comprehensive and detailed to date of the impacts of different climate change scenarios in the 2020s, 2050s and 2080s on peak river flows throughout England, Scotland and Wales. There are estimates for every 1km section of Britain鈥檚 river network, available via an interactive free UKCEH , to guide planning decisions and authorities鈥� action to limit flooding. 

The Environment Agency has cited the work in a newly published , saying the research has had 鈥渟ignificant implications for flood risk management鈥� and enabled it to update its on peak river flows for building developers, councils and government agencies. 

Previous research used older climate models and was based on projections for a limited number of locations. The UKCEH , published in 2023, used the latest advanced modelling and discovered varying factors among catchments 鈥� enabling scientists to better predict how different regions would respond to climate-induced rainfall changes. The research team included Alison Kay, Ali Rudd, Matthew Fry and Gemma Nash from UKCEH.  

Improving the data 

The work was one of several impact case studies from the Environment Agency鈥檚 Flood and Coastal Erosion Risk Management research and development programme.  

The agency also highlighted the 25-year , to which UKCEH is a key contributing organisation. This is a UK-wide plan of action to improve ways of working, data, methods and scientific understanding in hydrology so information on risks is robust, and then informs effective action to safeguard communities, infrastructure and the natural environment from the escalating risks of flooding. 

Further information 

The Flood and Coastal Erosion Risk Management鈥檚 is a collaborative partnership between the Environment Agency, Defra, the Welsh Government and Natural Resources Wales, involving partners from academia, industry and across government. It is collating evidence to guide sustainable building development and investment in action to mitigate risks of flooding and coastal erosion. 

 

 

Sep 06 to date: Senior Scientific Officer (Band 5), UK 皇冠体育国际娱乐 for Ecology & Hydrology:

鈥� Developing use of climate model ensembles for hydrological impact assessment.

鈥� Use of transient climate model data in temporal impact assessments.

鈥� Regionalisation of climate change impacts on flood flows.

鈥� Investigating the estimation of potential evaporation from climate model data.

鈥� Project- and line-management responsibilities.

I lead a group of scientists, data managers, analysts and software developers mostly working on projects to deliver our science and data to end users.

We produce, analyse and manage datasets within UKCEH's water science, and develop applications to get data out to end users, who can be researchers, consultants, regulators or the general public.

Gemma has extensive web development experience ranging from HTML to server management. After twelve years as a web developer at the British Geological Survey, she joined UKCEH in 2018 to learn about freshwater and help deliver water data via the web. She specialises in HTML, CSS and JavaScript (including node.js). Since joining UKCEH, she has gained data processing skills using Python and has a good understanding of spatial data wrangling.

Science Area Coordinator / FDRI Digital & Capacity Building Project Manager

Ali is the Science Area Coordinator for the Water Resources Science Area, and the Floods and Droughts Research Infrastructure (FDRI) Digital Project Manager at UKCEH in Wallingford.

Group Leader, Hydrological Forecasting; Deputy Science Area Head, Hydro-climate Risks